UPSC GS1 2024

Q. The groundwater potential of the gangetic valley is on a serious decline. How may it affect the food security of India?

UPSC Mains 2024 GS1 Paper

Model Answer:

The Gangetic valley, India’s core breadbasket, faces critical groundwater depletion, with NASA’s GRACE data and CGWB classifying numerous Northwestern blocks as “over-exploited.”

1. Drivers of Groundwater Decline

  • Distorted Policies: MSP-backed procurement heavily incentivizes water-guzzling crops in semi-arid zones (paddy/wheat in Punjab/Haryana).
  • Resource Mispricing: Free or highly subsidized agricultural electricity drives relentless, unregulated pumping (virtual water export).
  • Recharge Deficits: Erratic monsoons, rampant deforestation, and high surface runoff drastically reduce natural aquifer replenishment.
  • Inefficient Agronomy: Widespread traditional flood irrigation causes massive groundwater wastage (sub-optimal ~30% water-use efficiency).

2. Cascading Impacts on India’s Food Security

  1. Threats to Food Availability:
    • Yield Stagnation: Chronic moisture stress and associated soil salinity reduce cereal outputs (Punjab/Haryana yield plateauing).
    • Cropping Intensity Drop: Drying deep aquifers force reductions in the Rabi and Zaid seasons, shrinking gross production.
  2. Impacts on Affordability:
    • Input Cost Escalation: Deepening borewells and powerful pumps increase farming costs, directly driving retail food inflation.
    • Livelihood Shocks: Severe water scarcity triggers farmer distress and migration, destabilizing local agricultural supply chains.
  3. Risks to Stability:
    • Drought Vulnerability: Depleted aquifers eliminate India’s primary physiological buffer against increasingly frequent monsoon failures.
    • PDS Disruption: Over-reliance on Gangetic procurement threatens the structural stability of the National Food Security Act (NFSA).
  4. Nutritional Insecurity:
    • Transition Chaos: Unplanned, forced agricultural shifts due to sudden water exhaustion disrupt existing dietary diversity and macro-nutrient availability.

Securing India’s food future requires transitioning from ‘water-intensive’ to ‘water-efficient’ agriculture through proactive crop diversification (National Millet Mission) and participatory, community-led aquifer management (Atal Bhujal Yojana).

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