2021 GS2 Answer

Q. The newly tri-nation partnership AUKUS is aimed at countering China’s ambitions in the Indo-Pacific region. Is it going to supersede the existing partnerships in the region? Discuss the strenght and impact of AUKUS in the present scenario.

Question from UPSC Mains 2021 GS2 Paper

Model Answer: 

AUKUS Partnership: Strength, Impact, and Regional Dynamics in the Indo-Pacific

AUKUS, formed in September 2021, is a trilateral security partnership between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States. It aims to counter China’s growing influence in the Indo-Pacific region. While AUKUS is significant, it is unlikely to supersede existing partnerships but rather complement them.

AUKUS and Existing Partnerships:

• AUKUS coexists with other regional alliances like the Quad (US, India, Japan, Australia) and Five Eyes (US, UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand).
• It enhances, rather than replaces, these partnerships by focusing on specific technological and military cooperation.
• Example: Quad’s vaccine diplomacy, AUKUS’s submarine technology.

Strengths of AUKUS:

• Advanced technology sharing:
– Cybersecurity and artificial intelligence
– Nuclear propulsion technology for submarines
• Combined military expertise of three powerful nations
• Strategic depth in the Indo-Pacific region

Impact in the Present Scenario:

• Geopolitical implications:
– Strengthens deterrence against Chinese aggression
– Alters regional power dynamics (e.g., South China Sea)
• Increased regional tensions:
– China’s strong opposition and countermeasures
– Concerns from some ASEAN nations
• Effects on allies:
– Strained relations with France (cancelled submarine deal)
– Closer alignment of other US allies in the region

Challenges:

• Potential escalation of regional arms race
• Balancing act for countries caught between US and China
• Long-term commitment and resource allocation issues

AUKUS has significantly impacted the Indo-Pacific security landscape, demonstrating its strength through:
1. Enhanced deterrence capabilities
2. Advanced technology cooperation
3. Unified stance against regional threats

However, its effectiveness will depend on:
• Successful implementation of planned initiatives
• Managing diplomatic fallout (e.g., with France)
• Balancing cooperation with other regional partnerships

Conclusion: AUKUS strengthens Indo-Pacific security architecture, complementing existing alliances while presenting new challenges in regional power dynamics.

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